The Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Through Indonesian Green Finance

Authors

  • Edwin Basmar Northern Illinois University, USA, 3University of Technology Collage of Intermonolayer, Baotou, China
  • Carl M. Campbell Northern Illinois University, USA, 3University of Technology Collage of Intermonolayer, Baotou, China
  • Liu Changxing Northern Illinois University, USA, 3University of Technology Collage of Intermonolayer, Baotou, China
  • Nisa Novia Avien Christy National Yunlin University of Science and Technology, Taiwan, Province of China

Keywords:

Monetary, Green Finance, Banking, Climate Change

Abstract

Monetary policy controls economic growth and financial stability, the Central Bank needs to control the financial cycle pressure through green finance. The measurement in this study was carried out through the Ed Waves Index development model based on Bank Indonesia's financial report data since the green finance declaration (1980-2024). The results found that there are three types of pressure from financial activity a wave in the financial cycle that affect the monetary policy effectiveness. The first type is depressed 0.027 A economic growth occurs based on a contractionary policy reaction. The second type is depressed -0.002 A is a neutral response based on a contractionary policy reaction.  The third type with pressure -0.023 A, economic stability occurs based on an expansionary policy reaction. This study provides a strong contribution to Bank Indonesia in determining an effective monetary policy as a form of anticipation of climate change pressures on changes in the financial cycle in Indonesia.

References

Abdullah, A. (2014). A new approach to monetary theory and policy: A monetary theory of value. World Applied Sciences Journal, 30(8), 1040–1063. https://doi.org/10.5829/idosi.wasj.2014.30.08.14166.

Adam, K., & Padula, M. (2011). Inflation dynamics and subjective expectations in the united states. Economic Inquiry, 49(1), 13–25. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1465-7295.2010.00328.x.

Afonso, O., & Alves, R. H. (2015). Economic growth effects of an international crisis. Singapore Economic Review, 60(2), 1–16. https://doi.org/10.1142/S0217590815500125.

Agénor, P.-R., & Pereira da Silva, L. A. (2013). Inflation targeting and financial stability: A perspective from the developing world. Working Paper Series, 324(September), 1–116. http://www.bc.gov.br/pec/wps/ingl/wps324.pdf.

Agénor, P. R., McDermott, C. J., & Prasad, E. S. (2000). Macroeconomic fluctuations in developing countries: Some stylized facts. In World Bank Economic Review, 14(2). 251-285. https://doi.org/10.1093/wber/14.2.251.

Albulescu, C. T., Goyeau, D., & Pépin, D. (2013). Financial instability and ecb monetary policy. Economics Bulletin, 33(1), 388–400.

Ardila, D., Sornette, D., & Zurich, E. T. H. (2016). Dating the financial cycle : a wavelet proposition 2 The Maximum Overlap Discrete Wavelet Transform ( MODWT ). 1–11.

Aysan, A. F., Disli, M., & Ozturk, H. (2017). Financial crisis, macroprudential policies and depositor discipline. Singapore Economic Review, 62(1), 5–25. https://doi.org/10.1142/S021759081740001X.

Basmar, E., Iii, C. M. C., & Basmar, E. (2021). Is an Indonesia the right investment environment after Covid-19? IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, 737(1). https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/737/1/012021.

Bernanke, B. S., & Gertler, M. (1995). Inside the Black Box: The Credit Channel of Monetary Policy Transmission. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 9(4), 27–48. https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.9.4.27.

Bernanke, B. S., Gertler, M., & Gilchrist, S. (1999). Chapter 21 The financial accelerator in a quantitative business cycle framework. Handbook of Macroeconomics, 1(PART C), 1341–1393. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1574-0048(99)10034-X.

Borio, C. (2012). The financial cycle and macroeconomics: What have we learnt? BIS Working Papers No 395. ISSN 1682-7678 (online). BIS Working Papers, 395.

Borio, C., Drehmann, M., & Xia, D. (2018). The Financial Cycle and Recession Risk. BIS Quarterly Review, December, 59–71.

Caldara, D., Fuentes-Albero, C., Gilchrist, S., & Zakrajsek, E. (2016). The Macroeconomic Impact of Financial and Uncertainty Shocks. International Finance Discussion Paper, 2016(1166), 1–41. https://doi.org/10.17016/ifdp.2016.1166.

Carlstrom, C. T., & Fuerst, T. S. (1997). Agency Costs, Net Worth, and Business Fluctuations. American Economic Review, 87(5), 893–910. http://www.jstor.org/stable/10.2307/2951331.

Caruana, J. (2011). Central banking between past and future: which way forward after the crisis? Speech at the South African Reserve Bank 90th …, 1–5. http://scholar.google.com/scholar?hl=en&btnG=Search&q=intitle:Central+banking+between+past+and+future+:+which+way+forward+after+the+crisis+?#0.

Céspedes, L. F., Chang, R., & Velasco, A. (2013). Dollarization of Liabilities, Net Worth Effects, and Optimal Monetary Policy. In Preventing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets (Issue January). https://doi.org/10.7208/chicago/9780226185057.003.0013.

Chen, Q., Filardo, A., He, D., & Zhu, F. (2015). Financial Crisis, US Unconventional Monetary Policy and International Spillovers. In IMF Working Papers, 15(85). https://doi.org/10.5089/9781475520668.001.

Christiano, L., Ilut, C., Motto, R., & Rostagno, M. (2008). Wo r k i n g Pa P e r S e r i e S MoneTary PoliCy and SToCk MarkeT BooM-BuST CyCleS.

Christiano, L. J., Motto, R., & Rostagno, M. (2014). Risk shocks. American Economic Review, 104(1), 27–65. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.104.1.27

Claessens, S., Kose, M. A., & Terrones, M. E. (2011). How Do Business and Financial Cycles Interact?; by Stijn Claessens, M. Ayhan Kose and Marco E. Terrones; IMF Working Paper 11/88; April 1, 2011. Journal of International Economics, 97, 178–190. https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2011/wp1188.pdf

Claudio Borio, C. F. and P. L. (2001). Crises and contagion: the role of the banking system. In Marrying the macro- and microprudential stability dimensions of financial (Issue 1).

Cuciniello, V., & di Iasio, N. (2021). Determinants of the Credit Cycle: A Flow Analysis of the Extensive Margin. SSRN Electronic Journal, 2445. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3924740

Cúrdia, V., & Woodford, M. (2009). Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff Reports Credit Spreads and Monetary Policy. 385.

De Bonis, R., & Silvestrini, A. (2014). The Italian financial cycle: 1861-2011. Cliometrica, 8(3), 301–334. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11698-013-0103-5

Devereux, M. B., Lane, P. R., & Xu, J. (2006). Exchange rates and monetary policy in emerging market economies. Economic Journal, 116(511), 478–506. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0297.2006.01089.x

Dib, A., & Christensen, I. (2005). Monetary Policy in an Estimated DSGE Model with a Financial Accelerator. Computing in Economics and Finance 2005, 0–41. http://ideas.repec.org/p/sce/scecf5/314.html

Drehmann, M., Borio, C., & Tsatsaronis, K. (2012). Characterising the Financial Cycle: Don’t Lose Sight of the Medium Term! BIS Working Papers, 380, 1–38. http://ideas.repec.org/p/bis/biswps/380.html

ECB. (2012). and Monetary. Monthly Buletin, December, 44–45.

El Karfi, K., & Mentagui, D. (2020). Monetary policy and financial stability. Journal of Advanced Research in Dynamical and Control Systems, 12(5 Special Issue), 1453–1459. https://doi.org/10.5373/JARDCS/V12SP5/20201905

Erdem, M., & Tsatsaronis, K. (2013). Financial conditions and economic activity: a statistical approach. BIS Quarterly Review, March, 37–51.

Estrealla, A., & Mishkin, F. . (1998). Estrella, A., & Mishkin, F. S. ,(1998), Predicting US Recessions Financial Variables as Leading Indicators, Review of Economics and Statistics.PDF.

Fattorini, L., Ghodsi, M., & Rungi, A. (2018). wiiw Working Paper 142.

Hafstead, M., & Smith, J. (2012). Financial shocks, bank intermediation, and monetary policy in a DSGE model. Unpublished Manucript, September. http://www.rff.org/Documents/HafsteadSmith_September2012.pdf

Harun, C. A., Taruna, A. A., Nattan, R. R., & Surjaningsih, N. (2014). Financial cycle of Indonesia – Potential forward looking. BI Working Paper, 9, 1–44.

Iacoviello, M. (2015). Financial business cycles. Review of Economic Dynamics, 18(1), 140–163. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.red.2014.09.003

Irawan, D. (2018). SYSTEMIC RISK CYCLE : EVIDENCE FROM ASEAN-5 Febrio Kacaribu. November.

Jermann, U., & Quadrini, V. (2012). Macroeconomic effects of financial shocks. American Economic Review, 102(1), 238–271. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.102.1.238

Laxton, J., Ermolaev, I., Freedman, C., Kamenik, O., Juillard, M., Laxton, D., Carabenciov, I., & Korshunov, D. (2008). A Small Quarterly Multi-Country Projection Model. In IMF Working Papers, 08(279). https://doi.org/10.5089/9781451871371.001

Lim, C. Y. (2015). Economic growth and exchange rate: A new road ahead for Indonesia. Singapore Economic Review, 60(2), 1–6. https://doi.org/10.1142/S0217590815500101

Liu, Z., Waggoner, D. F., & Zha, T. (2011). Sources of macroeconomic fluctuations: A regime-switching DSGE approach. Quantitative Economics, 2(2), 251–301. https://doi.org/10.3982/qe71

Ma, Y., & Zhang, J. (2016). Financial Cycle, Business Cycle and Monetary Policy: Evidence from Four Major Economies. International Journal of Finance and Economics, 21(4), 502–527. https://doi.org/10.1002/ijfe.1566

McCallum, B. T. (2001). Monetary Policy Analysis in Models Without Money. Review, 83(4), 145–160. https://doi.org/10.20955/r.83.145-160

McKinnon, R., Lee, B., & Wang, Y. D. (2010). The global credit crisis and China’s exchange rate. Singapore Economic Review, 55(2), 253–272. https://doi.org/10.1142/S0217590810003705

Moore, J. (2008). Credit Cycles. 105(2), 211–248.

Mostaghimi, M. (2004). Monetary policy, composite leading economic indicators and predicting the 2001 recession. Journal of Forecasting, 23(7), 463–477. https://doi.org/10.1002/for.923

Nasreen, S., & Anwar, S. (2019). Financial Stability and Monetary Policy Reaction Function for South Asian Countries: An Econometric Approach. Singapore Economic Review, 1–30. https://doi.org/10.1142/S0217590819500395

Nguyen, V. C., Vu, D. B., Nguyen, T. H. Y., Pham, C. Do, & Huynh, T. N. (2021). Economic Growth, Financial Development, Transportation Capacity, and Environmental Degradation: Empirical Evidence from Vietnam*. Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business, 8(4), 93–104. https://doi.org/10.13106/jafeb.2021.vol8.no4.0093

Nolan, C., & Thoenissen, C. (2009). Financial shocks and the US business cycle. Journal of Monetary Economics, 56(4), 596–604. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmoneco.2009.03.007

Orphanides, A. (2001). Monetary Policy Rules, Macroeconomic Stability and Inflation: A View from the Trenches Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. December.

Orphanides, A. (2003). and the Taylor Rule. June.

Papers, C. W., & Daianu, D. (n.d.). CASE Working Papers (Vol. 5, Issue 5).

Pisani-ferry, J., & Ramos, M. (2011). Macroeconomic Policy Interdependence and the G-20 Rethinking Central Banking Committee on Rethinking Central Banking Committee on.

Rafique, A., Quddoos, M. U., Ali, S., Aslam, F., & Ahmad, M. (2021). Monetary policy transmission: Balance sheet channel and investment behavior of firms in Pakistan. Economic Journal of Emerging Markets, 13(1), 1–12. https://doi.org/10.20885/ejem.vol13.iss1.art1

Rejeb, A., Rejeb, K., & G. Keogh, J. (2021). Cryptocurrencies in Modern Finance: A Literature Review. Etikonomi, 20(1), 93–118. https://doi.org/10.15408/etk.v20i1.16911

Riet, A. Van. (2017). A new era for monetary policy: Challenges for the european central bank. Singapore Economic Review, 62(1), 57–86. https://doi.org/10.1142/S0217590817400033

Rochon, M. P.-. (2020). The Length of Financial Cycle and its Impact on Business Cycle in Poland. European Research Studies Journal, XXIII(4), 1278–1290. https://ideas.repec.org/a/ers/journl/vxxiiiy2020i4p1278-1290.html

Samad, G., & Manzoor, R. (2015). Green growth: Important determinants. Singapore Economic Review, 60(2). https://doi.org/10.1142/S0217590815500149

Schüler, Y. S., Hiebert, P., & Peltonen, T. A. (2021). Characterising the Financial Cycle: A Multivariate and Time-Varying Approach. SSRN Electronic Journal, 1846. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2664126

Shen, C. H., Ren, J. Y., Huang, Y. L., Shi, J. G., & Wang, A. Q. (2018). Creating Financial Cycles in China and Interaction with Business Cycles on the Chinese Economy. In Emerging Markets Finance and Tsrade, 54(13). https://doi.org/10.1080/1540496X.2017.1369402

Wilson, P. (2015). Monetary policy and financial sector development. Singapore Economic Review, 60(3), 1–25. https://doi.org/10.1142/S0217590815500319.

Downloads

Published

2025-06-03

How to Cite

Basmar, E., Campbell, C. M., Changxing, L., & Christy, N. N. A. (2025). The Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Through Indonesian Green Finance. Asian Bulletin of Digital Economics and Business, 1(1), 15–27. Retrieved from https://www.journal.uruborospublishing.com/index.php/abdeb/article/view/57

Issue

Section

Articles

Citation Check